Research suggests climate change, increased monsoon rainfall and expanded groundwater pumping have driven substantial vegetation growth in the Thar Desert over the past two decades. Continued greening appears possible, as climate models project a 20% to 50% increase in mean annual precipitation through the end of the century under both low and high-emission scenarios. Groundwater overuse is a critical concern as satellite and in situ observations show long-term depletion, suggesting current rates of extraction may not be sustainable.
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https://phys.org/news/2025-04-monsoons-groundwater-climate-human-interventions.html